Dep. Chiantla vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
42.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Chiantla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
SLC
2 - 0
DEP
43%
26%
31%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
DEP
2 - 1
CHI
48%
26%
26%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
IZT
3 - 0
DEP
49%
25%
27%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
DEP
3 - 1
SOL
43%
26%
31%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 4
DEP
30%
27%
43%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
NUE
3 - 1
REU
53%
23%
25%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
ESC
0 - 1
NUE
36%
26%
38%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
SLC
2 - 1
NUE
39%
26%
35%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
NUE
0 - 0
CHI
66%
19%
15%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
IZT
1 - 1
NUE
48%
24%
28%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |