Dep. Chiantla vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
36.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Chiantla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
UNI
1 - 1
DEP
62%
21%
18%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2017 |
DEP
2 - 1
UNI
29%
27%
45%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
CHI
1 - 0
DEP
33%
26%
41%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
DEP
1 - 0
SOL
44%
25%
31%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
REU
2 - 1
DEP
44%
25%
31%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
NUE
5 - 2
SAN
58%
22%
20%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 2
NUE
46%
25%
30%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
REU
1 - 1
NUE
43%
25%
32%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
NUE
1 - 0
IZT
56%
23%
22%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
NUE
4 - 0
ROS
54%
23%
24%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +2 |