Dep. Chiantla vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
52.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Chiantla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
REU
2 - 1
DEP
53%
24%
23%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
DEP
0 - 1
IZT
44%
26%
31%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
ROS
1 - 1
DEP
43%
25%
32%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
DEP
4 - 2
ROS
43%
26%
32%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +2 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
ESC
3 - 2
DEP
51%
24%
25%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
NUE
2 - 0
ESC
62%
20%
18%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
BAR
0 - 2
NUE
21%
24%
55%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
NUE
3 - 0
SIQ
43%
24%
33%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
NUE
2 - 0
IZT
49%
23%
27%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +2 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
SIQ
3 - 1
NUE
61%
21%
18%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |