Dep. Chiantla vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
43.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Chiantla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
COM
0 - 1
DEP
48%
24%
29%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2015 |
DEP
1 - 0
COM
40%
26%
35%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
DEP
2 - 0
PUE
44%
25%
31%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
HER
4 - 1
DEP
78%
14%
8%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
NUE
5 - 1
DEP
49%
24%
27%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
NUE
4 - 1
SAY
50%
24%
26%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2015 |
SAY
1 - 0
NUE
30%
24%
46%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
NUE
3 - 0
HAL
27%
25%
47%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
PUE
2 - 2
NUE
33%
24%
43%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
NUE
5 - 1
DEP
49%
24%
27%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |