Dep. Chiantla vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
42.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Chiantla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
SLC
2 - 1
DEP
54%
23%
23%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
PUE
1 - 1
DEP
32%
26%
42%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
DEP
0 - 0
HUE
38%
26%
36%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
HER
3 - 0
DEP
66%
19%
15%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
HAL
2 - 1
DEP
57%
23%
20%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
NUE
4 - 0
BAR
61%
21%
19%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
NUE
2 - 1
SLC
51%
23%
27%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
PUE
0 - 1
NUE
29%
24%
47%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
HUE
1 - 0
NUE
49%
24%
28%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
HER
1 - 0
NUE
58%
21%
21%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |