Dep. Chiantla vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
38.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Chiantla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
DEP
2 - 2
HUE
41%
25%
34%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2015 |
BAR
2 - 1
DEP
39%
26%
36%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
DEP
2 - 0
SLC
25%
25%
50%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | +2 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
HAL
2 - 2
DEP
75%
16%
9%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
DEP
3 - 2
IZT
47%
25%
28%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
HUE
2 - 1
NUE
42%
24%
34%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
NUE
1 - 0
SLC
33%
25%
42%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2015 |
IZT
4 - 1
NUE
33%
24%
44%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -2 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
NUE
1 - 0
HER
36%
25%
40%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
NUE
2 - 0
BAR
60%
21%
19%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |