Dep. Chiantla vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
26.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Chiantla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
AUR
1 - 0
DEP
35%
27%
38%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
DEP
2 - 1
SPD
49%
25%
27%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
AYU
1 - 1
DEP
42%
25%
33%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2014 |
HUE
1 - 1
DEP
40%
26%
35%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
DEP
3 - 0
IZT
30%
27%
43%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
NUE
5 - 0
HUE
52%
23%
25%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
IZT
3 - 3
NUE
71%
17%
12%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
NUE
3 - 0
PUE
50%
23%
26%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
BAR
2 - 0
NUE
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
NUE
3 - 1
COM
46%
24%
30%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +2 |