Dep. Chiantla vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
21.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Chiantla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
DEP
4 - 0
DEP
73%
17%
10%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
DEP
0 - 1
HUE
57%
22%
21%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2013 |
AUR
1 - 1
DEP
27%
27%
47%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
DEP
2 - 1
LAG
49%
25%
27%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
SPD
1 - 0
DEP
40%
25%
34%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
NUE
4 - 0
AYU
43%
25%
32%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
BAR
5 - 0
NUE
53%
23%
23%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -2 |
| 16 Oct. 2013 |
PUE
2 - 1
NUE
54%
25%
22%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
NUE
5 - 0
DEP
21%
26%
54%
|
40 | 63 | 23 | +3 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
HUE
2 - 1
NUE
53%
24%
24%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |