Dep. Chiantla vs Heredia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
44.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Chiantla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
NUE
3 - 0
DEP
47%
24%
29%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2015 |
DEP
2 - 0
NUE
32%
24%
44%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +2 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
COM
0 - 1
DEP
48%
24%
29%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2015 |
DEP
1 - 0
COM
40%
26%
35%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
DEP
2 - 0
PUE
44%
25%
31%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Heredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
HER
4 - 2
NUE
60%
20%
20%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2015 |
NUE
2 - 2
HER
37%
25%
38%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
HER
1 - 1
AUR
71%
17%
12%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2015 |
AUR
0 - 1
HER
28%
27%
45%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
HER
2 - 0
MIX
65%
19%
16%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |