Dep. Chiantla vs Barillas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
23.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Chiantla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
DEP
4 - 0
NUE
33%
25%
42%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
SLC
2 - 1
DEP
54%
23%
23%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
PUE
1 - 1
DEP
32%
26%
42%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
DEP
0 - 0
HUE
38%
26%
36%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
HER
3 - 0
DEP
66%
19%
15%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Barillas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
BAR
0 - 0
HUE
26%
26%
48%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
NUE
4 - 0
BAR
61%
21%
19%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 0
HER
22%
24%
54%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
SLC
3 - 0
BAR
59%
21%
20%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 0
HAL
23%
23%
54%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |