Dep. Chiantla vs Barillas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
23.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Chiantla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
SLC
1 - 0
DEP
60%
22%
18%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
DEP
2 - 0
HAL
21%
23%
56%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | +2 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
IZT
1 - 3
DEP
52%
23%
25%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
PUE
1 - 0
DEP
41%
25%
34%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
DEP
1 - 1
HER
34%
25%
41%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Barillas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
BAR
2 - 1
HAL
18%
23%
59%
|
43 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
PUE
1 - 0
BAR
48%
24%
28%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 0
NUE
36%
24%
40%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +2 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 1
HUE
36%
25%
39%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
SLC
4 - 1
BAR
72%
18%
11%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |