Sportivo Carapeguá vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.8%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
12.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
45.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.3%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Carapeguá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
IND
0 - 1
CAR
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 1
CCP
23%
28%
49%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
RÑU
1 - 1
CAR
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 2
CER
48%
27%
26%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 1
AME
41%
28%
31%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
LIB
1 - 1
AME
59%
24%
18%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2012 |
OLI
2 - 2
LIB
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2012 |
LIB
0 - 0
GUA
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
TAC
1 - 1
LIB
20%
27%
53%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
LIB
1 - 0
NAC
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |