Dep. Capiatá vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
52.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Capiatá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
DEP
1 - 3
LQE
47%
25%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2019 |
SPO
0 - 1
DEP
49%
25%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
DEP
1 - 0
NAC
45%
26%
29%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2019 |
OLI
3 - 0
DEP
77%
15%
8%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
DEP
3 - 3
RPA
52%
24%
24%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
LIB
4 - 0
SAN
72%
19%
9%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2019 |
GRE
0 - 1
LIB
66%
20%
14%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
LQE
2 - 2
LIB
23%
26%
52%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2019 |
LIB
4 - 1
UCO
51%
25%
25%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2019 |
LIB
2 - 1
SPO
66%
22%
13%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | +1 |