Dep. Capiatá vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
34.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Capiatá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2018 |
AME
5 - 1
DEP
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2018 |
DEP
2 - 1
SAN
61%
23%
16%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
CCP
2 - 2
DEP
57%
23%
21%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
DEP
2 - 1
SAN
55%
25%
20%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2018 |
GUA
2 - 1
DEP
58%
22%
20%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2018 |
ATT
0 - 2
LIB
42%
27%
31%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
LIB
1 - 2
AME
50%
26%
25%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 4
LIB
23%
26%
51%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
LIB
1 - 1
CCP
41%
27%
32%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 2
LIB
29%
27%
44%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | +1 |