Copa Colombia Quarter-finals
Global 2-2
Deportivo Cali vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
27.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2016 |
CAL
1 - 0
PAT
58%
24%
18%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2016 |
MIL
1 - 0
CAL
51%
24%
25%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2016 |
ONC
2 - 0
CAL
43%
25%
31%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
AME
1 - 1
CAL
36%
26%
38%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2016 |
CAL
1 - 2
IND
45%
25%
30%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
TOL
1 - 1
JUN
48%
26%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2016 |
DEP
1 - 0
TOL
23%
26%
51%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
BUC
0 - 1
TOL
29%
28%
43%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
TOL
0 - 0
DEP
68%
20%
12%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2016 |
TOL
3 - 1
MIL
48%
26%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |