Deportivo Caaguazú vs Independiente FBC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
31%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Caaguazú
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 2
DEP
53%
25%
21%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
12O
4 - 1
DEP
45%
27%
28%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -2 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
DEP
2 - 2
GEN
42%
28%
30%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
SPO
0 - 1
DEP
57%
24%
19%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
DEP
2 - 2
CER
46%
26%
28%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente FBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
IND
3 - 1
12O
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
GEN
2 - 0
IND
44%
28%
28%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
IND
2 - 1
SPO
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
CER
0 - 1
IND
40%
28%
32%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
IND
3 - 1
CCC
47%
27%
27%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |