Bluefields vs Real Estelí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
52.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bluefields
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
DIR
8 - 1
BLU
73%
17%
10%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
BLU
2 - 2
ADE
54%
23%
23%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2005 |
AMA
0 - 0
BLU
65%
20%
14%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
WAL
3 - 2
BLU
64%
21%
16%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2005 |
BLU
2 - 2
REA
45%
25%
30%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Real Estelí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
EST
4 - 1
REA
68%
19%
12%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
JAP
1 - 0
EST
28%
25%
47%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2005 |
EST
1 - 0
MAS
60%
23%
18%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
EST
1 - 0
AMA
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2005 |
SCO
1 - 3
EST
33%
26%
41%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |