Deportivo Fabril vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
52.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Fabril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2011 |
DEP
0 - 1
GUA
31%
28%
41%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
LEG
2 - 2
DEP
65%
21%
14%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
DEP
4 - 4
ALC
36%
27%
38%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
ATB
1 - 0
DEP
56%
23%
21%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
DEP
0 - 1
UBC
38%
26%
36%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2011 |
PON
2 - 3
LUG
35%
27%
38%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
LUG
2 - 0
EXT
76%
16%
8%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2010 |
LUG
2 - 0
ULP
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
CEL
0 - 3
LUG
46%
25%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
COX
1 - 1
LUG
17%
23%
60%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |