Deportivo Fabril vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
16.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Fabril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1996 |
SSR
1 - 1
DEP
41%
28%
32%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1996 |
DEP
0 - 0
UDL
37%
27%
36%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1996 |
CDM
2 - 2
DEP
50%
26%
24%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1996 |
DEP
2 - 1
COL
68%
20%
12%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1996 |
FUE
0 - 2
DEP
48%
26%
26%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1996 |
LUG
3 - 0
RMC
44%
26%
30%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1996 |
PON
0 - 1
LUG
52%
27%
22%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1996 |
ATB
2 - 1
LUG
68%
20%
12%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1996 |
LUG
3 - 1
CDM
36%
29%
35%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 1996 |
LUG
0 - 0
SSR
53%
26%
21%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |