Deportivo Fabril vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.7%
Win probability
3.29
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.8%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
9%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.1%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.6%
6.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Fabril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1954 |
LEM
2 - 1
DEP
50%
22%
28%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1954 |
SAN
1 - 0
DEP
45%
23%
32%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 1954 |
DEP
8 - 2
PON
69%
16%
15%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1954 |
CEL
2 - 5
DEP
75%
14%
11%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +2 |
| 17 Oct. 1954 |
DEP
0 - 1
CDO
67%
17%
16%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1954 |
LUG
2 - 3
MAR
61%
19%
19%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1954 |
LUG
0 - 5
ACF
56%
21%
22%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 1954 |
ARO
2 - 0
LUG
54%
22%
25%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -2 |
| 24 Oct. 1954 |
LEM
2 - 0
LUG
57%
21%
22%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1954 |
LUG
1 - 0
SAN
79%
13%
9%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |