Deportivo Fabril vs Choco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.4%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.7%
6.9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
61
1º
6º
1º
15
1º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Fabril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
ART
1 - 2
DEP
23%
25%
52%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
DEP
3 - 2
SIL
74%
16%
10%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
GRA
1 - 2
DEP
31%
24%
45%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
DEP
6 - 0
VIV
70%
18%
12%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
BOU
0 - 0
DEP
39%
26%
35%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
CHO
1 - 3
UPH
56%
22%
22%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 0
CHO
64%
20%
16%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
CHO
0 - 1
RCV
33%
26%
40%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SOM
2 - 0
CHO
61%
21%
18%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CHO
2 - 1
UDO
31%
25%
45%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | +1 |