Deportivo Fabril vs Choco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
21%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Fabril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
ARO
1 - 2
DEP
48%
24%
29%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
DEP
2 - 0
BAR
59%
22%
19%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
BER
0 - 2
DEP
12%
19%
70%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
DEP
1 - 0
LAR
66%
19%
14%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
BOI
1 - 1
DEP
43%
24%
33%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
CHO
2 - 2
RIB
58%
21%
22%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
BER
1 - 0
CHO
36%
27%
38%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
CHO
0 - 1
PON
37%
27%
37%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
CER
0 - 0
CHO
49%
25%
26%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
CHO
3 - 1
ALO
54%
23%
23%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |