Deportivo Fabril vs CCD Cerceda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
19%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Fabril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
ALO
1 - 0
DEP
40%
25%
35%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
DEP
3 - 2
BOU
62%
22%
16%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
SOM
0 - 3
DEP
37%
26%
37%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
BET
2 - 1
DEP
25%
25%
50%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
DEP
1 - 0
VIL
65%
21%
15%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
CCD Cerceda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
CER
0 - 0
BET
49%
26%
25%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
VIL
1 - 0
CER
33%
27%
41%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -2 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
CER
0 - 1
RCF
35%
27%
38%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
CDD
0 - 1
CER
24%
26%
50%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
CER
1 - 0
COM
36%
27%
38%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |