Deportivo Fabril vs RSD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
37.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Fabril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
ATB
1 - 0
DEP
56%
23%
21%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
DEP
0 - 1
UBC
38%
26%
36%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
CPC
1 - 1
DEP
45%
25%
30%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
DEP
1 - 0
CER
44%
26%
31%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
DEP
4 - 1
GET
36%
26%
39%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
ALC
1 - 0
PON
29%
28%
44%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
EXT
0 - 1
ALC
39%
26%
36%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
ALC
0 - 0
CEL
24%
26%
50%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
ULP
1 - 0
ALC
63%
23%
14%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
ALC
2 - 1
COX
51%
26%
23%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |