Deportivo Azogues vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.4%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
47.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Azogues
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
GRE
2 - 0
DPT
50%
25%
26%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
DPT
2 - 2
AUD
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
UCE
1 - 0
DPT
67%
20%
13%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
DPT
4 - 2
VAL
35%
28%
37%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
TEC
3 - 0
DPT
70%
18%
12%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
MAC
1 - 1
UTC
73%
18%
10%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
MAC
4 - 1
RIV
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
ROC
1 - 1
MAC
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
MAC
5 - 1
GRE
65%
21%
15%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
AUD
2 - 3
MAC
23%
27%
50%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |