Deportivo Aguilares vs Atlético Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
60.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+60%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Aguilares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
LIB
0 - 6
AGU
46%
24%
31%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
AGU
1 - 0
UNI
43%
24%
33%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +2 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
LAS
1 - 0
AGU
43%
24%
33%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
AGU
0 - 0
AMA
41%
24%
35%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2013 |
UNI
0 - 0
AGU
80%
14%
6%
|
34 | 53 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 0
CHI
79%
15%
6%
|
63 | 26 | 37 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
LAS
0 - 2
ATL
15%
23%
62%
|
62 | 33 | 29 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
LIB
1 - 2
ATL
16%
23%
61%
|
62 | 33 | 29 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 0
UNI
77%
16%
7%
|
62 | 37 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
ATL
2 - 3
AMA
77%
16%
7%
|
62 | 35 | 27 | 0 |