Abarán CF vs Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
4%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
66.8%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Abarán CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
LOR
1 - 1
ABA
77%
14%
9%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
ABA
4 - 1
ALQ
29%
23%
48%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | +2 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
PUL
4 - 0
ABA
79%
14%
7%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
ABA
5 - 3
SOH
36%
23%
40%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
JUM
3 - 0
ABA
54%
22%
25%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
LOR
5 - 1
BUL
80%
13%
7%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
SPO
1 - 2
LOR
17%
21%
62%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
LOR
2 - 0
UDL
78%
14%
8%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
CDA
0 - 2
LOR
28%
23%
49%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
LOR
3 - 1
LOR
22%
22%
56%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | -2 |