Abarán CF vs Independiente Ceutí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.6%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
14%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
9.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Abarán CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
MME
2 - 3
ABA
26%
22%
52%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
ABA
2 - 3
CLU
73%
16%
11%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
MSM
2 - 1
ABA
28%
23%
48%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
ABA
1 - 0
EFA
81%
13%
7%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
BAL
1 - 0
ABA
31%
24%
45%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Ceutí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
CEU
0 - 0
JUV
59%
21%
20%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
CEU
1 - 1
MME
35%
24%
41%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
RAA
5 - 0
CEU
49%
23%
29%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
CEU
4 - 1
CLU
29%
23%
48%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
CAR
3 - 0
CEU
39%
23%
37%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | -1 |