Abarán CF vs Villa de Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.8%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
11%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Abarán CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
MME
1 - 4
ABA
22%
21%
57%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
ABA
1 - 3
CDT
65%
18%
18%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
PLU
2 - 1
ABA
28%
24%
48%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2019 |
ABA
1 - 1
EGP
44%
23%
33%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
ABA
5 - 1
JUM
80%
13%
7%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Villa de Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
VIL
1 - 4
RMC
45%
22%
34%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
VIL
2 - 1
MME
61%
19%
20%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
CDT
2 - 1
VIL
58%
20%
22%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
VIL
1 - 1
PLU
44%
24%
33%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
JUM
1 - 1
VIL
39%
23%
38%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |