1ª Regional Murcia Semi-finals
Global 1-3
Abarán CF vs Villa de Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
38.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Abarán CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2017 |
VIL
2 - 1
ABA
62%
19%
20%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
JUM
1 - 2
ABA
17%
19%
64%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
ABA
5 - 1
AFC
54%
20%
25%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
ARC
3 - 2
ABA
24%
21%
55%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
IFA
0 - 4
ABA
10%
16%
74%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Villa de Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2017 |
VIL
2 - 1
ABA
62%
19%
20%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
VIL
4 - 0
JUV
53%
21%
26%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
ALB
1 - 2
VIL
10%
16%
74%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2017 |
VIL
2 - 2
LIS
83%
11%
6%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
PAL
0 - 1
VIL
15%
18%
67%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |