Abarán CF vs Bala Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.5%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
12.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Abarán CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ABA
0 - 0
CDA
31%
24%
45%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
BUL
2 - 1
ABA
51%
23%
26%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
ABA
2 - 2
SPO
69%
18%
13%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
UDL
4 - 2
ABA
26%
22%
52%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Bala Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
BAL
2 - 2
BUL
17%
22%
62%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
SPO
0 - 1
BAL
54%
22%
24%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
BAL
0 - 3
UDL
34%
23%
43%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
LOR
3 - 2
BAL
85%
11%
5%
|
13 | 35 | 22 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
PIN
3 - 1
BAL
77%
15%
8%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | -1 |