Primera A Finals Final
Global 2-0
LDU Loja vs Independiente del Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
25.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
LDU Loja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
LOJ
2 - 1
IVT
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
NAC
0 - 1
LOJ
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2012 |
LOJ
2 - 2
EME
39%
27%
34%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
MAC
0 - 2
LOJ
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
LOJ
2 - 1
OLM
59%
24%
18%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
LOJ
2 - 1
IVT
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
IVT
1 - 0
CUE
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2012 |
NAC
0 - 2
IVT
51%
25%
25%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
IVT
1 - 0
LIG
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2012 |
QUI
2 - 0
IVT
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |