Deportes Tolima vs Real Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
13.1%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
MIL
2 - 1
TOL
38%
26%
36%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2011 |
TOL
1 - 0
HUI
60%
23%
17%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
TOL
3 - 1
CAL
44%
27%
29%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 0
TOL
32%
27%
41%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
TOL
2 - 0
IND
52%
26%
22%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
AGU
3 - 1
CAR
60%
23%
17%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 1
JUN
32%
27%
41%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
CAR
3 - 2
MIL
37%
26%
37%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2011 |
CAL
1 - 0
CAR
70%
19%
11%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
CAR
0 - 1
CHI
42%
25%
33%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |