Deportes Tolima vs Real Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
18.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
COR
1 - 5
TOL
26%
27%
47%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
TOL
2 - 1
AME
55%
25%
21%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
TOL
1 - 1
ONC
46%
26%
29%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
HUI
1 - 3
TOL
43%
26%
30%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2010 |
TOL
4 - 1
FOR
77%
16%
7%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
CAR
1 - 4
EQU
52%
25%
24%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
PER
3 - 0
CAR
57%
24%
20%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
JUN
0 - 3
CAR
72%
18%
11%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2010 |
BAR
1 - 2
CAR
29%
26%
45%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2010 |
CAR
2 - 0
RSC
75%
15%
10%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |