Deportes Tolima vs Real Cartagena analysis

Deportes Tolima Real Cartagena
81 ELO 69
-7.6% Tilt 6.8%
599º General ELO ranking 642º
14º Country ELO ranking 22º
ELO win probability
65.8%
Deportes Tolima
21.6%
Draw
12.6%
Real Cartagena

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.8%
Win probability
Deportes Tolima
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
14%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
12.6%
Win probability
Real Cartagena
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Deportes Tolima
+8%
-3%
Real Cartagena

ELO progression

Deportes Tolima
Real Cartagena
Atlético Bucaramanga
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Deportes Tolima
Deportes Tolima
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Feb. 2007
TOL
Deportes Tolima
2 - 0
Deportivo Táchira
TAC
68%
20%
12%
82 71 11 0
04 Feb. 2007
HUI
Atlético Huila
2 - 3
Deportes Tolima
TOL
35%
26%
39%
82 71 11 0
30 Jan. 2007
TAC
Deportivo Táchira
1 - 2
Deportes Tolima
TOL
32%
26%
43%
82 72 10 0
20 Dec. 2006
TOL
Deportes Tolima
1 - 1
Cúcuta Deportivo
CUC
68%
19%
14%
82 78 4 0
17 Dec. 2006
CUC
Cúcuta Deportivo
1 - 0
Deportes Tolima
TOL
37%
24%
39%
82 77 5 0

Matches

Real Cartagena
Real Cartagena
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Feb. 2007
CAR
Real Cartagena
0 - 0
Millonarios
MIL
38%
28%
35%
69 73 4 0
12 Nov. 2006
PAS
Deportivo Pasto
0 - 2
Real Cartagena
CAR
61%
24%
15%
68 78 10 +1
05 Nov. 2006
CAR
Real Cartagena
1 - 0
Millonarios
MIL
34%
27%
39%
67 75 8 +1
29 Oct. 2006
PER
Deportivo Pereira
0 - 0
Real Cartagena
CAR
58%
24%
18%
67 73 6 0
22 Oct. 2006
CAR
Real Cartagena
0 - 1
Atlético Huila
HUI
44%
27%
29%
68 70 2 -1