Deportes Tolima vs Once Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
23.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
NAC
2 - 2
TOL
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2016 |
TOL
0 - 0
FOR
72%
18%
10%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2016 |
TOL
1 - 0
CAL
48%
24%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
AGU
0 - 0
TOL
41%
27%
33%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
JAG
0 - 0
TOL
22%
27%
52%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2016 |
MIL
1 - 1
ONC
56%
24%
21%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
ONC
1 - 2
AGU
54%
25%
21%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2016 |
JAG
1 - 1
ONC
23%
27%
50%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2016 |
ONC
1 - 1
ALI
63%
21%
15%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2016 |
PAS
1 - 2
ONC
36%
27%
37%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |