Deportes Tolima vs Millonarios analysis

Deportes Tolima Millonarios
80 ELO 80
-10.2% Tilt -2.6%
597º General ELO ranking 552º
14º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
43%
Deportes Tolima
27.4%
Draw
29.5%
Millonarios

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43%
Win probability
Deportes Tolima
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
29.5%
Win probability
Millonarios
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Deportes Tolima
+8%
+8%
Millonarios

Points and table prediction

Deportes Tolima
Their league position
Millonarios
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
10º
19º
10º
0
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
19º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
At. Nacional
6
31
15%
Junior
9
31
11.5%
Fortaleza
6
29
9%
América de Cali
14º
1
27
4%
Alianza FC
4
27
5.5%
Deportivo Pereira
4
27
4.5%
Llaneros
5
27
9%
Santa Fe
5
27
9.5%
Boyacá Chicó
4
26
9%
Deportes Tolima
11º
3
26
10º
6.5%
Deportivo Pasto
10º
3
26
11º
3.5%
Millonarios
19º
0
26
12º
6%
Unión Magdalena
18º
1
26
13º
7%
Águilas Doradas
12º
2
24
14º
5%
Atlético Bucaramanga
13º
1
24
15º
5.5%
Independiente Medellín
16º
1
24
16º
8%
La Equidad
4
24
17º
9.5%
Once Caldas
20º
0
23
18º
8%
Envigado
15º
1
21
19º
13.5%
Deportivo Cali
17º
1
21
20º
19%
Expected probabilities
Deportes Tolima
Millonarios
Next round
41.5% 44%
Mid-table
58.5% 56%

ELO progression

Deportes Tolima
Millonarios
Independiente Medellín
Llaneros
At. Nacional
Deportivo Pereira
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Deportes Tolima
Deportes Tolima
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Jul. 2025
ALI
Alianza FC
0 - 1
Deportes Tolima
TOL
48%
25%
27%
80 80 0 0
19 Jul. 2025
TOL
Deportes Tolima
0 - 1
Santa Fe
SFE
41%
27%
33%
80 80 0 0
12 Jul. 2025
PAS
Deportivo Pasto
3 - 2
Deportes Tolima
TOL
43%
27%
30%
80 80 0 0
19 Jun. 2025
TOL
Deportes Tolima
2 - 0
Junior
JUN
49%
26%
25%
80 80 0 0
16 Jun. 2025
IND
Independiente Medellín
2 - 1
Deportes Tolima
TOL
44%
26%
30%
80 81 1 0

Matches

Millonarios
Millonarios
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Jul. 2025
EQU
La Equidad
1 - 0
Millonarios
MIL
37%
29%
34%
80 79 1 0
20 Jun. 2025
MIL
Millonarios
1 - 2
Santa Fe
SFE
42%
26%
32%
81 80 1 -1
17 Jun. 2025
NAC
At. Nacional
0 - 1
Millonarios
MIL
51%
24%
26%
81 80 1 0
12 Jun. 2025
MIL
Millonarios
2 - 2
Once Caldas
ONC
44%
28%
28%
81 80 1 0
09 Jun. 2025
ONC
Once Caldas
0 - 0
Millonarios
MIL
40%
27%
33%
81 80 1 0