Deportes Tolima vs Millonarios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
36.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2021 |
TOL
2 - 0
AME
49%
26%
25%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2021 |
ALI
1 - 4
TOL
31%
27%
42%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
TOL
3 - 1
QUI
65%
23%
12%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2021 |
BUC
1 - 1
TOL
33%
28%
39%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2021 |
TOL
3 - 2
MIL
34%
28%
39%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2021 |
MIL
3 - 0
ALI
71%
18%
11%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2021 |
AME
2 - 1
MIL
28%
26%
46%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 3
MIL
46%
25%
30%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2021 |
MIL
1 - 1
ALI
70%
19%
11%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2021 |
TOL
3 - 2
MIL
34%
28%
39%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |