Deportes Tolima vs Millonarios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
33.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
LEO
0 - 1
TOL
24%
28%
48%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
TOL
4 - 1
EQU
51%
26%
23%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2018 |
ONC
0 - 1
TOL
41%
27%
32%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2018 |
TOL
2 - 1
JUN
39%
29%
33%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2018 |
HUI
0 - 0
TOL
41%
27%
32%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
MIL
4 - 0
LAR
58%
24%
18%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
LEO
2 - 1
MIL
16%
25%
59%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2018 |
MIL
2 - 0
PAS
59%
24%
17%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
EQU
0 - 0
MIL
29%
28%
43%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2018 |
MIL
4 - 1
BUC
61%
25%
15%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |