Deportes Tolima vs Millonarios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
26.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2016 |
MIL
0 - 3
TOL
49%
25%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
CHI
0 - 4
TOL
14%
26%
60%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
TOL
0 - 0
MIL
49%
25%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2016 |
TOL
3 - 0
ONC
52%
25%
23%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
NAC
2 - 2
TOL
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2016 |
MIL
0 - 3
TOL
49%
25%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
MIL
0 - 0
AGU
63%
22%
15%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
TOL
0 - 0
MIL
49%
25%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
JAG
2 - 1
MIL
19%
27%
54%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2016 |
MIL
1 - 1
ONC
56%
24%
21%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |