Deportes Tolima vs Millonarios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
23.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2013 |
TOL
1 - 1
PER
74%
17%
9%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
TOL
2 - 1
ALI
66%
20%
14%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2013 |
FOR
0 - 1
TOL
18%
22%
60%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
JUN
1 - 2
TOL
49%
24%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2013 |
ONC
4 - 1
TOL
53%
24%
24%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2013 |
MIL
4 - 1
LLA
79%
15%
7%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
MIL
3 - 0
JUN
48%
27%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2013 |
TFC
0 - 0
MIL
13%
22%
64%
|
79 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
CAL
2 - 2
MIL
53%
25%
22%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2013 |
SFE
1 - 1
MIL
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |