Deportes Tolima vs Millonarios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
27.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
JUN
1 - 1
TOL
53%
23%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2012 |
MIL
3 - 0
TOL
46%
26%
29%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2012 |
TOL
0 - 1
JUN
52%
25%
23%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
TOL
3 - 0
PAS
52%
26%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
ENV
2 - 0
TOL
25%
26%
49%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
MIL
1 - 0
PAS
53%
25%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2012 |
MIL
1 - 1
TIG
49%
26%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2012 |
MIL
3 - 0
TOL
46%
26%
29%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
PAS
3 - 1
MIL
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2012 |
TIG
0 - 0
MIL
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |