Deportes Tolima vs Millonarios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
20.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2011 |
HUI
4 - 7
TOL
36%
27%
38%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2011 |
TOL
1 - 1
EST
40%
27%
33%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
CAL
0 - 2
TOL
55%
23%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
QUI
2 - 0
TOL
34%
26%
40%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
TOL
3 - 1
CHI
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
SFE
0 - 2
MIL
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2011 |
BOG
1 - 1
MIL
26%
25%
50%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
MIL
3 - 0
CAR
63%
22%
15%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
MIL
2 - 1
AGU
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
CAL
0 - 0
MIL
64%
20%
16%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |