Deportes Tolima vs Millonarios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
18.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2011 |
CAL
1 - 0
TOL
49%
24%
27%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2011 |
TOL
3 - 0
CAL
47%
26%
27%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
FOR
0 - 1
TOL
17%
22%
61%
|
82 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2011 |
TFC
0 - 1
TOL
15%
21%
64%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2011 |
TOL
2 - 0
QUI
63%
22%
15%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2011 |
MIL
1 - 1
UNI
71%
17%
12%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2011 |
UNI
2 - 3
MIL
31%
23%
46%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
EQU
1 - 1
MIL
51%
24%
24%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2011 |
MIL
2 - 1
BOG
74%
17%
10%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2011 |
CEN
2 - 1
MIL
24%
24%
52%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |