Deportes Tolima vs Millonarios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
26.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
TOL
0 - 1
HUI
59%
24%
17%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
QUI
1 - 1
TOL
33%
27%
40%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
TOL
4 - 1
IND
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2008 |
EQU
3 - 1
TOL
46%
25%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
TOL
2 - 1
NAC
43%
27%
30%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
MIL
1 - 1
QUI
55%
25%
20%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
JUN
2 - 1
MIL
62%
22%
17%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
MIL
2 - 1
ENV
55%
25%
20%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
BUC
1 - 1
MIL
38%
28%
34%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
MIL
0 - 0
ONC
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |