Deportes Tolima vs Millonarios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
20.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
HUI
3 - 0
TOL
32%
27%
40%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
TOL
1 - 1
QUI
63%
23%
15%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
ONC
0 - 1
TOL
36%
27%
38%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
TOL
2 - 0
CUC
57%
22%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2007 |
CAL
1 - 2
TOL
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2007 |
SFE
0 - 1
MIL
47%
25%
28%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2007 |
MIL
0 - 0
NAC
34%
27%
39%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
MIL
1 - 0
PER
54%
25%
21%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2007 |
NAC
2 - 3
MIL
61%
22%
17%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
MIL
0 - 3
PAS
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |