Deportes Tolima vs Millonarios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
19.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
SFE
0 - 2
TOL
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2005 |
HUI
0 - 0
TOL
37%
27%
36%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
TOL
1 - 1
PAS
57%
25%
18%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
TOL
1 - 1
AME
42%
27%
31%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2004 |
NAC
2 - 0
TOL
56%
24%
20%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
HUI
1 - 1
MIL
46%
27%
27%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2005 |
MIL
2 - 2
CHI
45%
26%
28%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2005 |
ENV
4 - 1
MIL
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
BUC
2 - 1
MIL
48%
27%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
CAL
2 - 0
MIL
56%
25%
19%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |