Deportes Tolima vs Millonarios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
29.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2004 |
TOL
3 - 2
LIB
28%
24%
48%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
PER
2 - 2
TOL
52%
25%
23%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2004 |
TAC
2 - 0
TOL
47%
27%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
TOL
2 - 2
NAC
37%
28%
34%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
TOL
0 - 0
CHI
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2004 |
MIL
2 - 1
PER
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
NAC
1 - 1
MIL
57%
25%
19%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2004 |
MIL
5 - 3
PAS
49%
26%
25%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
SFE
1 - 1
MIL
45%
27%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
CHI
2 - 4
MIL
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |