Deportes Tolima vs Millonarios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
28.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
UNI
2 - 0
TOL
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2003 |
TOL
2 - 1
QUI
62%
23%
16%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
IND
1 - 0
TOL
58%
23%
19%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
SFE
0 - 0
TOL
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2003 |
TOL
0 - 1
PAS
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
MIL
0 - 1
PAS
53%
25%
22%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2003 |
CAL
3 - 0
MIL
58%
24%
18%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
MIL
2 - 1
BUC
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
PER
2 - 0
MIL
42%
27%
31%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2003 |
MIL
2 - 0
JUN
55%
25%
20%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |