Deportes Tolima vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
48.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
PER
2 - 2
TOL
52%
25%
23%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2004 |
TAC
2 - 0
TOL
47%
27%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
TOL
2 - 2
NAC
37%
28%
34%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
TOL
0 - 0
CHI
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
HUI
2 - 2
TOL
50%
26%
24%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
TAC
1 - 1
LIB
28%
25%
47%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2004 |
LIB
1 - 0
RIV
35%
26%
39%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
SPC
0 - 4
LIB
19%
24%
57%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2004 |
LIB
6 - 1
LQE
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
LIB
0 - 1
NAC
62%
22%
17%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |